AKUA Deal Memo (December 2020)
Deal Abstract
Kelp based food maker launched kelp jerky and kelp burgers. Great growth and took a product to market in ~2 years with $500k-$1m maybe. Will be curious how they compete against Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods.
Financials (VRB)
|Question|Notes|
|---|---|---|
|1. Fundraising Target? |$1m|
|2. Fundraised So Far?|$156k|
|3. Pre-Money Valuation?|$7m|
|4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue |$143k|
|5. Previous Year's Annual Burn |~$210k|
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | No: Brooklyn, NY |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | Yes: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | Yes:: Co-founders as video says |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | Yes |
5. Notable investors? | No No super angels or VC's, though Blue Bottle Coffee logo is there |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | Yes: if full round raised |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 1 | Reviews not looking great |
2. Timing? | 2 | Good time for sustainable food |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | New to market and doesn't seem like a monopoly |
4. People? | 2 | Smart team but no one with food experience before. |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Has to sell to retailers who will then charge them SKUs. |
6. Durability? | 2 | If you build a delicious brand, it will be defensible. |
7. Secret? | 2 | People have been waiting for a kelp brand and no one has been able to crack it yet. |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
- Make the product even more delicious
- Lock down great B2B partnerships a la Beyond Meat with Dunkin and McDonalds
- Vegan market needs to grow, or this company needs to expand beyond Vegan
What the Risks Are
- Product Deliciousness vs. Virtue Signaling
- Competitors like Beyond Meat
- Going Big Via Scaling
Bonus Muhan's Notes
Interesting seeing kelp based meat vs plant-based meat brands
https://store.drhyman.com/collections/books
Updates
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Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
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