Koning Deal Memo (Closing Date: 2022-01-17)
Deal Abstract
High tech bio company has made a better mammogram detecting solution.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $5000000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $1471157 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $200000000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $3089624 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-1135428 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Norcross, GA |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | False: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: Went from $2m to $3m |
5. Notable investors? | False: No one I recognize |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: Just needs $2m or so |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 3 | Great engineering |
2. Timing? | 2 | Not sure why this is the right time for this company to take off |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | Solid revenue but at $200m that $2m revenue is a high valuation |
4. People? | 2 | Seems like right people |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Distribution needs to be through partners, or as they say, luminary sites |
6. Durability? | 4 | Super hard tech moat |
7. Secret? | 2 | Exponential adoption of superior technology for mammograms is awaiting once this device goes full on the market |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Get more site partners to buy this; 2. More doctors and more frequent mammograms due to ease, accuracy, and cost; 3. All components of the device including software are revenue streams
What the Risks Are
1. Biotech always makes me nervous; 2. The valuation is very, very high; 3. Adoption could be slow as how often do people get mammograms
Bonus Muhan's Notes
Very cool
Updates
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Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
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