Pops Deal Memo (Closing Date: 2021-07-01)
Deal Abstract
New AI and better designed glucometer.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $3000000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $1967638 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $25000000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $28684 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-1651287 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Los Angeles, CA |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | False: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: Though growth very modest |
5. Notable investors? | False: No one I recognize |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: But needs to raise full amount |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Better engineering than normal blood lancet, but not 10x better imo |
2. Timing? | 1 | No reason to believe now is right time for this business |
3. Monopoly? | 1 | Super low revenue |
4. People? | 3 | Def right people for this business |
5. Distribution? | 1 | D2C and through retailers |
6. Durability? | 2 | I guess the data is proprietary? But not much else |
7. Secret? | 1 | Pops design innovation is going to tap into a venture sized market of diabetics |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Sell more devices; 2. Monetize more than just hardware; 3. Innovate more heavily instead of marginal improvements
What the Risks Are
1. Good products don't make for good businesses; 2. Market too small; 3. Improvement is marginal
Bonus Muhan's Notes
I've used Keto Mojo to measure my blood and ketones before; not sure how this device is that much better. Not to mention, where's the recurring revenue?
Updates
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