RedSwan Deal Memo (Closing Date: 2021-12-31)
Deal Abstract
Real estate professionals building a tokenized platform to invest in commercial real estate. Pre-product, pre-revenue.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $5000000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $421012 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $55000000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $0 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-261856 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Wilmington, DE |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | True: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | False: No revenue for 2020 |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | False: Declined in 2020 |
5. Notable investors? | False: None |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: Though burn was very high at $261k |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Product doesn't exist yet though would theoretically be tokenized powered marketplace |
2. Timing? | 2 | Lots of demands for alternative real estate |
3. Monopoly? | 1 | No revenue |
4. People? | 2 | Team seems good but not much outcomes from the business itself |
5. Distribution? | 2 | No obvious access to customers |
6. Durability? | 3 | Marketplaces have good network effects esp if you can guarantee access to dealflow |
7. Secret? | 2 | Blockchain is the secret to building tokenized commercial real estate investing options |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Make money; 2. Proprietary dealflow; 3. Distribution channel
What the Risks Are
1. Crypto is a feature not a key differentiator; 2. Marketplaces are hard to build; 3. Dealflow gets commoditized with other platforms
Bonus Muhan's Notes
$55m valuation is pretty large for something that made no money in the last year.
Updates
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