Upstack Deal Memo (Closing Date: 2021-09-30)
Deal Abstract
Vetted developer agency is raising money to build more remote friendly websites for various startups, such as Campus Concierge or MealPal.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $5000000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $331634 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $80000000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $2250406 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-62245 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: New York, NY |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | False: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: Grew from 1.6m in 2019 to 2.2 in 2020 |
5. Notable investors? | False: No one I recognize |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: Very low burn |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 1 | Seems like a vetted marketplace, which is great, but not a new engineering concept |
2. Timing? | 2 | Good time for remote developers |
3. Monopoly? | 1 | Good revenue for marketplace, but not as good as say, TopTal |
4. People? | 2 | Good team, with CEO having background at Monster |
5. Distribution? | 3 | Impressed by some of the customers this team has gotten |
6. Durability? | 2 | I believe the supply is durable, if not growing at a tepid pace |
7. Secret? | 2 | Building a verified marketplace for developer services right now is a venture sized business |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Grow beyond just a service business; 2. Maintain quality at scale; 3. Systematize getting large clients and increasing lifetime collaboration
What the Risks Are
1. Service business not VC backable; 2. Marketplace can't compete against Toptal or Thumbtack; 3. No-code reducing demand for traditional dev agencies
Bonus Muhan's Notes
I know MealPal, very curious to know how Upstack go this customer.
Updates
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So, did I invest?
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