Deal Abstract
https://www.seedinvest.com/dbg/series.a3
Late stage e-commerce company aims to raise money before going public. This is a retroactive deal memo. Sought to raise $10MM, minimum $450k, at a $35MM valuation. Raised $3.2MM in the end. Very large round for a company that was talking about going public on the London Exchange.
Decision
No.
Why Investing/Passing
- Why raise capital if the company is about to go public? What are the competitive advantages between going public on the NYSE versus the London exchange?
- This is an apparel e-commerce company. Very well may be a good business, with the “shared resource” model pooling together digital and inventory spend. But this doesn’t hit me as a tenbagger.
- Fundamentally, a convergence of a) I don’t get it, b) seems like marginal returns, and c) behavior that seems technically fine but in spirit dodgy has me out of the deal.
The 11 Calacanis Characteristics
Passed on 5/11.
Check | Pass/Fail |
1. Syndicate lead has >5 years investing and >1 unicorn investment | Fail |
2. A startup that is based in SV | Fail: (Los Angeles, CA) |
3. Has at least 2 founders | Pass |
4. Has product in the market | Pass |
5. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue. | Pass |
6. Notable investors? | Fail |
7. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway | Unknown: burn rate is no longer public at time of writing, but $3MM should be plenty. |
8. Proprietary technology? | Fail |
9. Network effects? | Fail |
10. Economies of scale? | Pass |
11. Great branding? | Pass: sure |
The 7 Thiel Questions
- The Engineering question:
- Bad: this company is not 10x-ing anything. That said, they never purported to be.
- Bad: this company is not 10x-ing anything. That said, they never purported to be.
- The Timing question:
- Bad: though it’s a good time to be starting online e-commerce business, there’s no reason to ask why this business is positioned for exponential growth at this moment.
- The monopoly question:
- Bad: what is so proprietary about the shared resource model? Couldn’t a high end Walmart/Target do the same thing? Nordstrom?
- The people question:
- Good: the founders seem well positioned to execute on this.
- The distribution question:
- Good: got to love direct to consumer.
- The durability question:
- Bad: although DBG is trying to hedge against the trends of fashion, the reality is that retail is brutal and that’s their bread and butter.
- The secret question:
- Bad: the shared resource model is unique, hard to copy, and very effective on saying costs.
- Bad: the shared resource model is unique, hard to copy, and very effective on saying costs.
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
- Continued growth and liquidity soon.
- The portfolio model of shared resources for creating and maintaining brands is a good way of lowering costs.
- DBG finds a way to distinguish all its brands in a way where they have something unique and hard to replicate.
What the Risks Are
- Timing on liquidity
- Generally low barrier to entry for retail (see all the direct to consumer brands that have been springing up.)
- For better and for worse, still a very “slash and sale” model around the clothing market.