Deal Abstract
Miami company wants to build a competitor to Boatsetter. Pre-rev, pre-product, at a really tempting valuation.
Financials (VRB)
|Question|Notes|
|---|---|---|
|1. Fundraising Target? |$1070000|
|2. Fundraised So Far?|$47832|
|3. Pre-Money Valuation?|$2500000|
|4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue |$0|
|5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) |~$-6851|
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Miami, FL |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | True: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | False: No product in market |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | False: No Users |
5. Notable investors? | False: I see '500 Startups' but unsure what that means |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: But somewhat meaningless statement given they have no real burn/operations yet |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 1 | Not sure how this is better than Boatsetter |
2. Timing? | 2 | Great time to build a marketplace |
3. Monopoly? | 1 | No product in market |
4. People? | 1 | No proven commercial successes in this vertical |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Online two-sided marketplace |
6. Durability? | 3 | If they can build it, very durable |
7. Secret? | 1 | Building a unicorn business using revenue sharing is the way to beat differentiation |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Generate revenue; 2. Build a two-sided marketplace; 3. Differentiate from other existing marketplaces
What the Risks Are
1. What's the difference between this company and Boatsetter? Also in Miami; 2. At what point does Airbnb experiences enter this market via Experiences?; 3. How long will it take to develop the site and generate revenue?
Bonus Muhan's Notes
So many yacht marketplaces, not enough yachts (Jokes; owning a boat or plane is a horrible investment)
Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.