Deal Abstract
Building better tools for automatically paying off debt and other fintech needs.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $1000000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $150081 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $12000000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $252585 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-245402 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Atlanta, GA |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | True: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | False: Revenue dropped from 2019 to 2020 |
5. Notable investors? | True: I recognize RIse of the Rest (Steve Case) and maybe Village Capital? |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: If they can raise the full $360k round then they'll have the full 18 months |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Nice UI/UX but I wonder if it's 10x better than existing solutions |
2. Timing? | 2 | People are in a lot of debt, but why would this app be poised to explode now? |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | Good traction but very modest revenue |
4. People? | 3 | People seem good |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Already got a lot of users and helped paid off $20m in debts |
6. Durability? | 1 | This is my biggest concern, what's to prevent companies that hold debt from making this feature into their SaaS |
7. Secret? | 1 | Helping people pay off debt through basic financial tools is going to be a billion dollar company at this time |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Go up market and not just serve low income customers paying off debt; 2. Help users make money/create more value and capture value; 3. Build more services B2B for debt owners
What the Risks Are
1. Feature not a company; 2. Fairly replicable technology; 3. Serving a low income population
Bonus Muhan's Notes
Great mission, but not seeing how this is going to be a tremendously large business. Compare to FloatMe.
Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.