Deal Abstract
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Wii Sports for the Oculus Rift has arrived in the form of VR cycling exercise.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $1070000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $746995 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $24300000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $372537 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-1706244 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Somewhere in, MA |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | True: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: Rev increased from 2020 to 2021, but not by much |
5. Notable investors? | False: No one I recognize |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | False: Very high burn, would need to clear 2mm+ |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Fitness on Oculus |
2. Timing? | 2 | Metaverse? But the Oculus has been out for a while |
3. Monopoly? | 3 | Pretty strong adoption |
4. People? | 3 | Team seems reasonably strong, but no famous investors I recognize |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Distribution through Oculus? Is this a game studio? |
6. Durability? | 1 | Not sure what's stopping another game studio from building Oculus Fitness |
7. Secret? | 1 | VirZoom and the Oculus has the ability to do to fitness what Wii did with WiiSports |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Sales of the Oculus have to go like the Wii; 2. VirZoom has to become a game studio not just a one off; 3. Design of the game has to be fun and remain sticky
What the Risks Are
1. People don't like to exercise; 2. Steam or Wii come in with their virtual reality exercise solution; 3. This company is not a game studio
Bonus Muhan's Notes
I'm surprised that Oculus didn't go the vertical integration route post Facebook and develop their own fitness games
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Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
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So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.