Deal Abstract
https://www.seedinvest.com/elly/pre.seed/investor_perks
Google Assistant backed startup company that could be the Calm.com aka the video library for all audio assisted treatment for hospitals. Has a product but pre-revenue. Risks include founders who have no notable exits before, lack of big hospital connections, and painkiller value of product.
Financials (VRB)
|Question|Notes|
|---|---|---|
|1. Fundraising Target? |$1m|
|2. Fundraised So Far?|$342k|
|3. Pre-Money Valuation?|$5m|
|4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue |$0|
|5. Previous Year's Annual Burn |~$50k|
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The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | No: Los Angeles, CA |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | Yes: Two founders |
3. Has product in the market? | Yes |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | No: still in beta and hasn't gone big on marketing. |
5. Notable investors? | Yes: Google Assistant Investments. |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | Yes: At $1m they'd have 20 years of runway. |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Technology meh, but this isn't a tech play, it's a content play |
2. Timing? | 2 | Unsure, not seeing anything in oncology that may make this thing blow up. |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | Sure but I really don't know other audio companions to oncology patients. Spotify podcasts? |
4. People? | 2 | No notable exits from either founder, LinkedIn still shows them being present on some old companies. |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Not bad, not great. No doctor who can push this product on hospital systems. |
6. Durability? | 3 | Good, content library. |
7. Secret? | 2 | This is going to be the Calm.com of audio-assisted treatments. |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
- Generate Revenue: 'Nuff said.
- Schmooze, Sell, Scale: Hospitals pay for this? Founders need to become very buddy buddy with hospital systems.
- Calm.com for Audio-Assisted Treatments: Rinse lather repeat and become content library.
What the Risks Are
- Vitamin: I know the company is trying to prove its value, but do the clinical studies convince the hospitals?
- Tiny Markets: There's only been 100 users. How many total addressable users are there, and how many hospitals are willing to pay for this?
- B2B vs. B2C: Calm.com went the route of d2c and was profitable after Calacanis invested. This company has to climb the hill of B2B which is no easy feat.
Bonus Muhan's Notes
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Got to ask my doctor friends if this thing has legs. Could be the Calm.com of audio assisted therapy. Could also be Hypersciences/2020 Genesystems.
Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
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So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.