Deal Abstract
Startup that wants to redefine the accuracy of polling programs by curating a premium community.
Financials (VRB)
Question | Notes |
---|---|
1. Fundraising Target? | $500000 |
2. Fundraised So Far? | $47600 |
3. Pre-Money Valuation? | $3500000 |
4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue | $228000 |
5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) | ~$-112965 |
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Nashville, TN |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | True: Two |
3. Has product in the market? | True: Revenue generating |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: Revenue grew |
5. Notable investors? | False: No one I recognize |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | True: Needs ~$200k |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 2 | Not sure how the tech is better |
2. Timing? | 2 | Polling is at lowest |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | Fine revenue but I've never heard of them vs. Luc.id and True Public |
4. People? | 2 | Team seems good on corporate side, but uncertain if scrappy enough to move fast on Polling market |
5. Distribution? | 3 | Team has good connections with industry |
6. Durability? | 1 | Lots of polling companies and not sure where the defensibility is |
7. Secret? | 1 | Using forms and polling online will build a better polling solution than existing solutions |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Meaningful differentiation; 2. Better predictive power; 3. Distribution into key poll providers/more people want self-service polls
What the Risks Are
1. Stagnant market; 2. Ambiguous value prop; 3. Polling is dying
Bonus Muhan's Notes
There's def a need for better sentiment analysis of population, but is polling the right way?
Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.