Deal Abstract
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MiamiTech company is making Voice AI for care. Has lots of customers and has made lots of calls, though very high burn and valuation for relatively low revenue.
Financials (VRB)
|Question|Notes|
|---|---|---|
|1. Fundraising Target? |$1070000|
|2. Fundraised So Far?|$109609|
|3. Pre-Money Valuation?|$45700000|
|4. Previous Year's Annual Revenue |$996230|
|5. Previous Year's Annual Net Income (+ Profitable, - Burning Cash) |~$-1654724|
The 6 Calacanis Characteristics ("Sow Passion, Not easy mediocrity", or S2 P6 N18)
Criteria | Yes/No |
---|---|
1. A startup that is based in SV? | False: Miami, FL |
2. Has at least 2 founders? | False: Only one CEO |
3. Has product in the market? | True: |
4. 6 months of continuous user growth or 6 months of revenue? | True: 2018 rev was 78k, 2019 rev was 996k |
5. Notable investors? | False: Nothing, but worth seeing: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/care-angel |
6. Post-funding, will have 18 months of runway? | False: 2019 burn was 1.6m, only raising 1.06m so no |
The 7 Thiel Questions (Every Time Man Profits, Don't Dismiss Serendipity)
Question | Score | Notes |
---|---|---|
1. Engineering? | 3 | Better than nothing, but the fact that there's no live demo makes me wonder |
2. Timing? | 2 | Not a bad time to build AI but still no big winners yet |
3. Monopoly? | 2 | Good traction |
4. People? | 2 | I was part of the Miami tech scene and strangely don't know anyone on the team. In addition, appears most of team is not full-time. |
5. Distribution? | 2 | Has been doing well selling to large medical organizations |
6. Durability? | 4 | If they can build this, absolutely durable. Both from sales and technology portion. |
7. Secret? | 3 | There's going to be/is a massive shortage in regular care providers and health organizations are going to supplement the shortage with voice AI. |
What has to go right for the startup to return money on investment:
1. Technology has to be good; 2. At one point probably integrate voice AI into an app that people can use; 3. Scale efficiently and probably have some people who look over the data collected
What the Risks Are
1. Still too early for AI; 2. Doesn't actually replace that much healthcare workers, just gives them another system to manage; 3. Not a 10x better solution
Bonus Muhan's Notes
I think I heard about Care Angel back when I lived in Miami. If so, very cool to see them again.
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Updates
This is where I’ll post updates about the company. This way all my notes from offering to post-offering updates will be on one page.
Review these deal memos every time the startup raises a new round
Test if original thesis still applies
Notice trends in how you think
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So, did I invest?
Click here to find out.Other thoughts, questions, comments, or concerns? Write me at mail@muhanzhang.com and let me know.